FW: OT: Kentucky Derby Day

[Fairlight]

With neither thought nor caution, Mike Schwartz blurted:
> 
>      I hope the "not be around next year" part is in the generic sense.
> (Like, there is a 1 in 472 chance that ANY one of us might not be around
> next year...)

I think there's basically a 50/50 chance any of us might not be here
tomorrow, if you account for non-linear events.  We could get hit by a bus,
slip in the shower, whatever.  Seems like the probability should be lower
than 50% because we beat the odds for so long, but since it's effectively a
coin toss for every event, it seems to me that the odds would be -higher-
because there are many events with catastrophic consequences.

The math is beyond me, in any event.

> Mike (still looking for mint to make a mint julep with in Wisconsin today)
> Schwartz

I know the stuff grows up there.  We used to grow it in a flowerbed
alongside the garage when I was a kid.  Mmmm...homemade mint jelly!  Yummy!

mark->
-- 
"Moral cowardice will surely be written as the cause on the death
certificate of what used to be Western Civilization." --James P. Hogan